New York Rangers at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-03-13 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 2 - 3 New York Rangers
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 53.2%
NYR: 46.8%
Expected Goals
MIN: 2.70
NYR: 3.18
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
| Stat | MIN | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.895 | 0.942 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.958 | 0.935 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • MIN at home vs NYR: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-20 | NYR 1 - 3 MIN | MIN | NYR |
| 2025-04-02 | NYR 5 - 4 MIN | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-03-13 | MIN 2 - 3 NYR | NYR | MIN |
| 2023-11-09 | NYR 4 - 1 MIN | NYR | NYR |
| 2023-11-04 | MIN 5 - 4 NYR | MIN | MIN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 06:45 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 08:42 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 06:38 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 03:55 | MIN | Goal |
| 4 | 01:51 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 2 - 3 New York Rangers
Expected: 2.7 - 3.2