Washington Capitals at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-03-13 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 0 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

LAK: 58.2%

WSH: 41.8%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.31

WSH: 2.68

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

WSH

Charlie Lindgren - 6-4-2 | 0.887 SV% | 3.07 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	21	21	0	100.0%	2.03	0	2.03
WSH	Charlie Lindgren	27	24	3	88.9%	2.09	0	-0.91

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • LAK at home vs WSH: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-02	LAK 1 - 3 WSH	WSH	LAK
2025-11-17	WSH 2 - 1 LAK	WSH	WSH
2025-03-13	LAK 3 - 0 WSH	LAK	LAK
2024-12-22	WSH 3 - 1 LAK	WSH	WSH
2024-01-07	WSH 4 - 3 LAK	WSH	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	LAK	13	0.66
1	WSH	16	0.64
2	LAK	13	0.77
2	WSH	15	0.66
3	LAK	13	0.66
3	WSH	13	0.73

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 0 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.3 - 2.7