Detroit Red Wings at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2025-03-14 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 2 Detroit Red Wings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 62.8%
DET: 37.2%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.50
DET: 2.77
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | CAR | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.915 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.900 | 0.901 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • CAR at home vs DET: 4-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-12 | DET 4 - 3 CAR | DET | DET |
| 2025-12-27 | CAR 5 - 2 DET | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-04-04 | DET 5 - 3 CAR | DET | DET |
| 2025-03-14 | CAR 4 - 2 DET | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-03-04 | DET 1 - 2 CAR | CAR | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:07 | DET | Goal |
| 2 | 00:22 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 05:44 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 12:18 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 02:53 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:49 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 62.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 2 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.5 - 2.8