Detroit Red Wings at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2025-03-14 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

CAR: 78.6%

DET: 21.4%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.73

DET: 2.49

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

DET

P. Mrazek

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	26	24	2	92.3%	2.58	2	0.58
DET	P. Mrazek	32	28	4	87.5%	2.87	1	-1.13

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • CAR at home vs DET: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	CAR 5 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR
2026-01-12	DET 4 - 3 CAR	DET	CAR
2025-12-27	CAR 5 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR
2025-04-04	DET 5 - 3 CAR	DET	CAR
2025-03-14	CAR 4 - 2 DET	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	19	0	0.59
1	DET	11	0	0.57
2	CAR	19	0	1.10
2	DET	9	0	0.56
3	CAR	15	1	1.18
3	DET	20	2	1.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 78.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.7 - 2.5