Edmonton Oilers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-03-14 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 1 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 55.1%

EDM: 44.9%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.10

EDM: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NYI at home vs EDM: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	EDM 0 - 1 NYI	NYI	EDM
2025-10-16	NYI 4 - 2 EDM	NYI	EDM
2025-03-14	NYI 1 - 2 EDM	EDM	NYI
2024-11-12	EDM 4 - 3 NYI	EDM	EDM
2023-12-19	NYI 3 - 1 EDM	NYI	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	7	0	0.26
1	EDM	20	1	1.61
2	NYI	17	0	0.76
2	EDM	16	0	1.26
3	NYI	9	0	0.58
3	EDM	11	0	0.46
4	NYI	3	0	0.17
4	EDM	3	1	0.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 1 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0