Dallas Stars at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2025-03-14 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 4 - 1 Dallas Stars
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 60.6%
DAL: 39.4%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.37
DAL: 2.35
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 33%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | WPG | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.879 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.862 | 0.865 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • WPG at home vs DAL: 4-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | DAL 4 - 3 WPG | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-12-09 | WPG 3 - 4 DAL | DAL | WPG |
| 2025-10-09 | WPG 4 - 5 DAL | DAL | WPG |
| 2025-05-17 | DAL 2 - 1 WPG | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-05-15 | WPG 4 - 0 DAL | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:01 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 17:02 | WPG | Goal |
| 2 | 06:43 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 07:26 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 16:11 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 4 - 1 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.4 - 2.3