Colorado Avalanche at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2025-03-14 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 2 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

CGY: 36.2%

COL: 63.8%

Expected Goals

CGY: 2.85

COL: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • CGY at home vs COL: 0-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	CGY 1 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-09	COL 3 - 1 CGY	COL	COL
2026-03-30	COL 9 - 2 CGY	COL	COL
2025-03-31	COL 2 - 3 CGY	CGY	COL
2025-03-14	CGY 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	6	0	0.23
1	COL	11	0	0.42
2	CGY	12	0	0.70
2	COL	19	0	1.21
3	CGY	23	1	1.59
3	COL	12	1	1.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 2 - 4 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0