Nashville Predators at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-03-14 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 1 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 45.9%

NSH: 54.1%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.03

NSH: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 42%

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	29	28	1	96.6%	2.40	1	1.40
NSH	Juuse Saros	15	13	2	86.7%	2.00	0	0.00

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 22% • ANA at home vs NSH: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	NSH 4 - 5 ANA	ANA	ANA
2026-04-07	ANA 0 - 5 NSH	NSH	ANA
2025-10-21	NSH 2 - 5 ANA	ANA	NSH
2025-03-20	NSH 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	NSH
2025-03-14	ANA 2 - 1 NSH	ANA	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	14	0	0.88
1	NSH	11	0	0.66
2	ANA	16	0	0.92
2	NSH	17	0	0.94
3	ANA	5	0	0.20
3	NSH	14	1	0.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 2 - 1 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1