Washington Capitals at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2025-03-15 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 1 - 5 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

SJS: 48.5%

WSH: 51.5%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.29

WSH: 3.51

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SJS at home vs WSH: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-15	WSH 2 - 3 SJS	SJS	WSH
2025-12-03	SJS 1 - 7 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-03-15	SJS 1 - 5 WSH	WSH	WSH
2024-12-03	WSH 1 - 2 SJS	SJS	WSH
2023-11-27	SJS 2 - 1 WSH	SJS	SJS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	3	0	0.32
1	WSH	20	2	2.01
2	SJS	12	0	0.73
2	WSH	10	0	0.42
3	SJS	13	0	0.84
3	WSH	9	0	0.38

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 1 - 5 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.3 - 3.5