Tampa Bay Lightning at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2025-03-15 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 2 - 6 Tampa Bay Lightning

Win Probability

BOS: 45.3%

TBL: 54.7%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.95

TBL: 3.33

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA

TBL

Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • BOS at home vs TBL: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	BOS 1 - 2 TBL	TBL	TBL
2026-04-04	TBL 3 - 1 BOS	TBL	TBL
2026-02-01	TBL 6 - 5 BOS	TBL	TBL
2025-10-13	BOS 3 - 4 TBL	TBL	BOS
2025-03-15	BOS 2 - 6 TBL	TBL	TBL

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	02:22	TBL	Goal
1	15:58	BOS	Goal
2	02:13	TBL	Goal
2	07:22	TBL	Goal
2	17:08	TBL	Goal
3	00:23	TBL	Goal
3	16:31	TBL	Goal
3	19:15	TBL	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 2 - 6 Tampa Bay Lightning

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3