Florida Panthers at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2025-03-15 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 3 - 1 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

MTL: 53.7%

FLA: 46.3%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.08

FLA: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • MTL at home vs FLA: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	MTL 4 - 3 FLA	MTL	FLA
2026-01-08	MTL 6 - 2 FLA	MTL	FLA
2025-12-30	FLA 2 - 3 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-04-01	MTL 3 - 2 FLA	MTL	FLA
2025-03-30	FLA 2 - 4 MTL	MTL	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	14	0	0.96
1	FLA	6	1	0.33
2	MTL	13	1	0.82
2	FLA	15	0	0.78
3	MTL	7	1	0.66
3	FLA	24	3	1.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 3 - 1 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0