Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2025-03-15 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 0 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

PHI: 49.7%

CAR: 50.3%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.08

CAR: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs CAR: 1-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-09	PHI 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-07	PHI 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-04	CAR 3 - 2 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-05-02	CAR 3 - 0 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-04-13	PHI 3 - 2 CAR	PHI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	15	0	1.11
1	CAR	21	2	1.52
2	PHI	14	0	0.70
2	CAR	15	0	1.20
3	PHI	8	0	0.45
3	CAR	14	0	0.64

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 0 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2