Vegas Golden Knights at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2025-03-16 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 0 Vegas Golden Knights
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 59.1%
VGK: 40.9%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.08
VGK: 2.86
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
| Stat | DET | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.971 | 1.000 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • DET at home vs VGK: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-04 | VGK 1 - 0 DET | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-03-22 | VGK 6 - 3 DET | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-03-16 | DET 3 - 0 VGK | DET | DET |
| 2024-03-09 | VGK 5 - 3 DET | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-01-27 | DET 5 - 2 VGK | DET | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 07:58 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 11:14 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 04:51 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 0 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.1 - 2.9