Dallas Stars at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2025-03-16 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 3 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

COL: 68.6%

DAL: 31.4%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.68

DAL: 2.60

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 54% • COL at home vs DAL: 5-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	DAL 0 - 2 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-18	COL 1 - 2 DAL	DAL	COL
2026-03-06	DAL 4 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-10-11	COL 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-05-03	DAL 4 - 2 COL	DAL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	23	2	1.50
1	DAL	5	1	0.80
2	COL	20	0	0.70
2	DAL	10	0	0.81
3	COL	13	1	1.11
3	DAL	18	4	1.50
4	COL	1	0	0.12
4	DAL	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 3 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.7 - 2.6