Edmonton Oilers at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2025-03-16 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 1 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

NYR: 39.7%

EDM: 60.3%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.09

EDM: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYR at home vs EDM: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-30	EDM 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	EDM
2025-10-14	NYR 0 - 2 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-03-16	NYR 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-11-23	EDM 6 - 2 NYR	EDM	EDM
2023-12-22	NYR 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	10	0	0.61
1	EDM	13	0	0.86
2	NYR	11	2	1.34
2	EDM	9	0	0.49
3	NYR	17	1	1.67
3	EDM	14	1	0.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 1 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2