Florida Panthers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-03-16 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 4 - 2 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

NYI: 63.1%

FLA: 36.9%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.32

FLA: 2.78

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NYI at home vs FLA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	NYI 5 - 2 FLA	NYI	FLA
2026-03-01	NYI 5 - 4 FLA	NYI	FLA
2025-12-07	FLA 4 - 1 NYI	FLA	FLA
2025-03-16	NYI 4 - 2 FLA	NYI	NYI
2025-02-02	FLA 6 - 3 NYI	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	18	1	1.29
1	FLA	4	0	0.06
2	NYI	15	0	0.74
2	FLA	14	1	1.57
3	NYI	13	3	1.78
3	FLA	22	4	2.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 4 - 2 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8