Utah Hockey Club at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-03-16 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

Win Probability

VAN: 37.3%

UTA: 62.7%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.59

UTA: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	23	20	3	87.0%	2.72	2	-0.28
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	19	18	1	94.7%	1.68	1	0.68

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • VAN at home vs UTA: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	VAN 4 - 7 UTA	UTA	UTA
2026-02-02	UTA 6 - 2 VAN	UTA	UTA
2025-12-05	VAN 1 - 4 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-03-16	VAN 1 - 3 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-02-23	UTA 2 - 1 VAN	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	9	0	0.41
1	UTA	13	0	0.91
2	VAN	9	0	0.13
2	UTA	12	1	0.78
3	VAN	17	1	1.14
3	UTA	7	1	1.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 3 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 2.6 - 3.2