Winnipeg Jets at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2025-03-16 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

SEA: 44.3%

WPG: 55.7%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.98

WPG: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	26	23	3	88.5%	2.89	1	-0.11
WPG	Eric Comrie	21	19	2	90.5%	3.02	1	1.02

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • SEA at home vs WPG: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-06	WPG 6 - 2 SEA	WPG	WPG
2025-11-13	SEA 5 - 3 WPG	SEA	SEA
2025-10-23	WPG 0 - 3 SEA	SEA	WPG
2025-03-16	SEA 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-01-16	WPG 2 - 1 SEA	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	12	0	1.03
1	WPG	15	0	0.69
2	SEA	13	0	1.05
2	WPG	14	1	1.02
3	SEA	10	0	0.44
3	WPG	19	0	1.02
4	SEA	2	1	0.50
4	WPG	1	0	0.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3