Buffalo Sabres at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2025-03-17 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 2 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

BOS: 45.4%

BUF: 54.6%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.82

BUF: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • BOS at home vs BUF: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-01	BOS 1 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-04-28	BUF 1 - 2 BOS	BOS	BUF
2026-04-26	BOS 1 - 6 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-04-23	BOS 1 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-04-21	BUF 2 - 4 BOS	BOS	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	17	2	1.42
1	BUF	12	0	0.60
2	BOS	8	0	0.51
2	BUF	12	0	0.58
3	BOS	5	0	0.26
3	BUF	10	1	0.55
4	BOS	2	0	0.14
4	BUF	8	0	0.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 2 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 2.8 - 3.1