Los Angeles Kings at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2025-03-17 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 3 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 49.9%
LAK: 50.1%
Expected Goals
MIN: 2.64
LAK: 3.17
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 48%
Over 6.5: 34%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | MIN | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.895 | 0.866 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.906 | 0.899 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • MIN at home vs LAK: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | LAK 4 - 2 MIN | LAK | LAK |
| 2026-01-03 | LAK 5 - 4 MIN | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-10-13 | MIN 4 - 3 LAK | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-03-17 | MIN 3 - 1 LAK | MIN | LAK |
| 2024-12-07 | LAK 4 - 1 MIN | LAK | LAK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:59 | LAK | Goal |
| 2 | 01:51 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 19:04 | MIN | Goal |
| 3 | 15:22 | MIN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 3 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 2.6 - 3.2