Los Angeles Kings at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-03-17 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 3 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Win (63% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 37.2%

LAK: 62.8%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.10

LAK: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 36%

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	29	28	1	96.6%	2.27	0	1.27
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	22	19	3	86.4%	1.82	2	-1.18

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • MIN at home vs LAK: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-05	LAK 4 - 2 MIN	LAK	LAK
2026-01-03	LAK 5 - 4 MIN	LAK	LAK
2025-10-13	MIN 4 - 3 LAK	MIN	MIN
2025-03-17	MIN 3 - 1 LAK	MIN	LAK
2024-12-07	LAK 4 - 1 MIN	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	16	0	0.59
1	LAK	11	0	0.62
2	MIN	8	0	0.27
2	LAK	19	0	0.94
3	MIN	11	2	0.97
3	LAK	14	0	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9