Ottawa Senators at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2025-03-18 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 6 - 3 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

MTL: 44.9%

OTT: 55.1%

Expected Goals

MTL: 2.92

OTT: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 43%

MTL

Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA

OTT

Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • MTL at home vs OTT: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-11	OTT 2 - 3 MTL	MTL	OTT
2026-01-17	OTT 5 - 6 MTL	MTL	OTT
2025-12-02	MTL 2 - 5 OTT	OTT	MTL
2025-11-01	MTL 4 - 3 OTT	MTL	OTT
2025-04-11	OTT 5 - 2 MTL	OTT	OTT

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 6 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2