Detroit Red Wings at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2025-03-18 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 54.8%
DET: 45.2%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.29
DET: 3.12
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 72%
Over 6.5: 59%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | WSH | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.900 | 0.898 |
| GAA | 2.39 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • WSH at home vs DET: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | DET 3 - 4 WSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-12-21 | DET 3 - 2 WSH | DET | DET |
| 2025-12-20 | WSH 2 - 5 DET | DET | WSH |
| 2025-03-18 | WSH 4 - 1 DET | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-03-07 | WSH 5 - 2 DET | WSH | WSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:36 | WSH | Goal |
| 1 | 12:28 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 08:16 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 14:21 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 15:27 | WSH | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 4 - 1 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.3 - 3.1
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