St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2025-03-18 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 1 - 4 St. Louis Blues
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 58.7%
STL: 41.3%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.11
STL: 2.87
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 21-17-5 | 0.892 SV% | 3.20 GAA
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
| Stat | NSH | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | 0.869 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.826 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.865 | 0.760 |
| GAA | 2.93 | 3.56 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • NSH at home vs STL: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | NSH 6 - 5 STL | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-12-27 | STL 3 - 2 NSH | STL | STL |
| 2025-12-15 | STL 2 - 5 NSH | NSH | STL |
| 2025-12-11 | NSH 7 - 2 STL | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-03-27 | NSH 2 - 3 STL | STL | NSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:16 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 06:04 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 19:59 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 18:50 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 13:45 | STL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 1 - 4 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.1 - 2.9