St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2025-03-18 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 1 - 4 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 51.4%

STL: 48.6%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.93

STL: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	21	17	4	81.0%	2.34	3	-1.66
STL	Joel Hofer	23	22	1	95.7%	1.80	0	0.80

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • NSH at home vs STL: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	NSH 6 - 5 STL	NSH	NSH
2025-12-27	STL 3 - 2 NSH	STL	NSH
2025-12-15	STL 2 - 5 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-12-11	NSH 7 - 2 STL	NSH	NSH
2025-03-27	NSH 2 - 3 STL	STL	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	11	0	0.75
1	STL	10	1	0.64
2	NSH	12	0	0.60
2	STL	9	1	0.80
3	NSH	12	0	0.45
3	STL	9	1	0.90

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 1 - 4 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1