Seattle Kraken at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-03-18 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 6 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

CHI: 43.3%

SEA: 56.7%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.08

SEA: 3.31

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Spencer Knight	30	24	6	80.0%	2.58	1	-3.42
SEA	Joey Daccord	29	27	2	93.1%	2.25	2	0.25

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CHI at home vs SEA: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	SEA 2 - 4 CHI	CHI	SEA
2025-11-20	CHI 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-11-03	SEA 3 - 1 CHI	SEA	CHI
2025-03-18	CHI 2 - 6 SEA	SEA	SEA
2024-12-19	CHI 3 - 1 SEA	CHI	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	18	1	0.91
1	SEA	13	0	0.79
2	CHI	11	1	0.83
2	SEA	16	1	1.27
3	CHI	9	0	0.52
3	SEA	11	0	0.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 6 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3