Utah Hockey Club at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2025-03-18 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 7 - 1 Utah Hockey Club
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 56.0%
UTA: 44.0%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.69
UTA: 2.73
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
| Stat | EDM | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.897 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.783 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • EDM at home vs UTA: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | EDM 6 - 3 UTA | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-03-18 | EDM 7 - 1 UTA | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-12-31 | EDM 4 - 1 UTA | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-11-29 | UTA 3 - 4 EDM | EDM | UTA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:28 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 15:14 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 19:56 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 07:41 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 09:53 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 16:26 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 00:33 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 02:36 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 7 - 1 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.7 - 2.7