Utah Hockey Club at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2025-03-18 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 7 - 1 Utah Hockey Club
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 54.9%
UTA: 45.1%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.75
UTA: 2.74
Total Goals
Median: 7.3
Over 5.5: 77%
Over 6.5: 62%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | EDM | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.878 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.837 | 0.781 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.68 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • EDM at home vs UTA: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | UTA 6 - 5 EDM | UTA | UTA |
| 2026-03-24 | UTA 2 - 5 EDM | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-10-28 | EDM 6 - 3 UTA | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-03-18 | EDM 7 - 1 UTA | EDM | EDM |
| 2024-12-31 | EDM 4 - 1 UTA | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:28 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 15:14 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 19:56 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 07:41 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 09:53 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 16:26 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 00:33 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 02:36 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 7 - 1 Utah Hockey Club
Expected: 3.7 - 2.7
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.