Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2025-03-18 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 6 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

VAN: 53.9%

WPG: 46.1%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.53

WPG: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VAN at home vs WPG: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	WPG 3 - 2 VAN	WPG	WPG
2026-02-25	VAN 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-11-11	VAN 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	VAN
2025-03-30	WPG 3 - 1 VAN	WPG	WPG
2025-03-18	VAN 6 - 2 WPG	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	17	1	1.08
1	WPG	15	0	1.01
2	VAN	12	2	1.13
2	WPG	13	2	1.52
3	VAN	7	3	1.68
3	WPG	21	0	1.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 6 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.5 - 3.2