Calgary Flames at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-03-20 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 5 Calgary Flames

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 53.2%

CGY: 46.8%

Expected Goals

NJD: 2.96

CGY: 2.75

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • NJD at home vs CGY: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	NJD 4 - 5 CGY	CGY	NJD
2026-01-19	CGY 1 - 2 NJD	NJD	CGY
2025-03-20	NJD 3 - 5 CGY	CGY	NJD
2024-11-01	CGY 3 - 0 NJD	CGY	NJD
2024-02-08	NJD 3 - 5 CGY	CGY	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	11	0	0.92
1	CGY	13	0	0.66
2	NJD	22	2	1.99
2	CGY	18	1	0.90
3	NJD	6	0	0.34
3	CGY	20	1	1.77

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 5 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.0 - 2.7