Calgary Flames at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2025-03-20 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 3 - 5 Calgary Flames
🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 62.5%
CGY: 37.5%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.46
CGY: 2.83
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 69%
Over 6.5: 56%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
| Stat | NJD | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.873 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.882 | 0.875 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 0% • NJD at home vs CGY: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | NJD 4 - 5 CGY | CGY | NJD |
| 2026-01-19 | CGY 1 - 2 NJD | NJD | CGY |
| 2025-03-20 | NJD 3 - 5 CGY | CGY | NJD |
| 2024-11-01 | CGY 3 - 0 NJD | CGY | NJD |
| 2024-02-08 | NJD 3 - 5 CGY | CGY | NJD |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:09 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 05:25 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 11:58 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 19:32 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 06:50 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 15:40 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 16:40 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 19:48 | CGY | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 3 - 5 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.5 - 2.8
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.