Philadelphia Flyers at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2025-03-20 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 3 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 64.1%
PHI: 35.9%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.19
PHI: 2.77
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 42%
Over 6.5: 27%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | WSH | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.884 | 0.877 |
| GAA | 2.39 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • WSH at home vs PHI: 5-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | WSH 6 - 4 PHI | WSH | WSH |
| 2026-03-11 | PHI 4 - 1 WSH | PHI | PHI |
| 2026-02-25 | WSH 3 - 1 PHI | WSH | WSH |
| 2026-02-03 | PHI 4 - 2 WSH | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-03-20 | WSH 3 - 2 PHI | WSH | WSH |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:25 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 01:56 | WSH | Goal |
| 2 | 11:06 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 05:10 | WSH | Goal |
| 3 | 17:24 | WSH | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 64.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 3 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.2 - 2.8
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