Anaheim Ducks at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2025-03-20 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 1 - 4 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (68% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 68.1%
ANA: 31.9%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.70
ANA: 3.52
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Justus Annunen - 3-5-1 | 0.875 SV% | 3.29 GAA
ANA
John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA
| Stat | NSH | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.875 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.29 | 3.54 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSH | Justus Annunen | 35 | 31 | 4 | 88.6% | 3.56 | 3 | -0.44 |
| ANA | John Gibson | 34 | 33 | 1 | 97.1% | 1.58 | 0 | 0.58 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 22% • NSH at home vs ANA: 0-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | NSH 4 - 5 ANA | ANA | ANA |
| 2026-04-07 | ANA 0 - 5 NSH | NSH | ANA |
| 2025-10-21 | NSH 2 - 5 ANA | ANA | NSH |
| 2025-03-20 | NSH 1 - 4 ANA | ANA | NSH |
| 2025-03-14 | ANA 2 - 1 NSH | ANA | NSH |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NSH | 14 | 0 | 0.51 |
| 1 | ANA | 15 | 1 | 0.97 |
| 2 | NSH | 11 | 0 | 0.45 |
| 2 | ANA | 19 | 1 | 1.39 |
| 3 | NSH | 18 | 0 | 0.62 |
| 3 | ANA | 14 | 1 | 1.21 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 68.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 7.2
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 1 - 4 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.7 - 3.5
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