Los Angeles Kings at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2025-03-20 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

CHI: 23.7%

LAK: 76.3%

Expected Goals

CHI: 1.89

LAK: 3.48

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 44%

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Spencer Knight	33	30	3	90.9%	2.97	1	-0.03
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	17	16	1	94.1%	1.41	0	0.41

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CHI at home vs LAK: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-06	LAK 6 - 0 CHI	LAK	LAK
2025-12-04	LAK 1 - 2 CHI	CHI	LAK
2025-10-26	CHI 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	CHI
2025-03-20	CHI 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-03-03	CHI 5 - 1 LAK	CHI	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	11	0	0.33
1	LAK	29	0	1.66
2	CHI	13	0	0.62
2	LAK	16	0	0.78
3	CHI	8	0	0.46
3	LAK	7	1	0.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 76.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.4

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 1.9 - 3.5