Los Angeles Kings at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2025-03-20 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 3 Los Angeles Kings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 24.6%
LAK: 75.4%
Expected Goals
CHI: 2.02
LAK: 2.96
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA
| Stat | CHI | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.63 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | Spencer Knight | 33 | 30 | 3 | 90.9% | 2.97 | 1 | -0.03 |
| LAK | Darcy Kuemper | 17 | 16 | 1 | 94.1% | 1.41 | 0 | 0.41 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CHI at home vs LAK: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | LAK 6 - 0 CHI | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-12-04 | LAK 1 - 2 CHI | CHI | LAK |
| 2025-10-26 | CHI 1 - 3 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-03-20 | CHI 1 - 3 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-03-03 | CHI 5 - 1 LAK | CHI | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 11 | 0 | 0.33 |
| 1 | LAK | 29 | 0 | 1.66 |
| 2 | CHI | 13 | 0 | 0.62 |
| 2 | LAK | 16 | 0 | 0.78 |
| 3 | CHI | 8 | 0 | 0.46 |
| 3 | LAK | 7 | 1 | 0.52 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 75.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.0
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 1 - 3 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 2.0 - 3.0
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