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Winnipeg Jets at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-03-20 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
EDM: 61.5%
WPG: 38.5%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.37
WPG: 2.33
Total Goals
Median: 4.5
Over 5.5: 38%
Over 6.5: 26%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
StatEDMWPG
Season SV%0.9060.907
Last 5 SV%0.8370.867
SV% vs Opponent—0.880
GAA2.732.51
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • EDM at home vs WPG: 1-3
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-01-08WPG 3 - 4 EDMEDMWPG
2025-12-29WPG 1 - 3 EDMEDMWPG
2025-12-06EDM 6 - 2 WPGEDMEDM
2025-04-13WPG 1 - 4 EDMEDMWPG
2025-03-20EDM 3 - 4 WPGWPGEDM

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
105:28EDMGoal
113:39EDMGoal
205:30EDMGoal
207:41EDMGoal
303:56WPGGoal
314:26EDMGoal
401:13WPGGoal

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.4 - 2.3