Buffalo Sabres at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2025-03-20 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 5 - 2 Buffalo Sabres
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 60.9%
BUF: 39.1%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.33
BUF: 2.55
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
| Stat | UTA | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.878 | 0.847 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.919 | 0.943 |
| GAA | 2.68 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • UTA at home vs BUF: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-12 | UTA 5 - 2 BUF | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-11-04 | BUF 1 - 2 UTA | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-03-20 | UTA 5 - 2 BUF | UTA | UTA |
| 2024-12-07 | BUF 2 - 5 UTA | UTA | UTA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:27 | UTA | Goal |
| 1 | 19:49 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 11:50 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 01:32 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 14:13 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 18:50 | UTA | Goal |
| 3 | 19:41 | UTA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 5 - 2 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 3.3 - 2.5
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