Boston Bruins at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2025-03-20 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 1 Boston Bruins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 64.6%
BOS: 35.4%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.56
BOS: 2.45
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | VGK | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.889 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.830 | 0.838 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • VGK at home vs BOS: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | BOS 4 - 3 VGK | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-10-16 | VGK 6 - 5 BOS | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-03-20 | VGK 5 - 1 BOS | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-02-08 | BOS 3 - 4 VGK | VGK | BOS |
| 2024-02-29 | BOS 5 - 4 VGK | BOS | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 09:19 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 19:10 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 05:47 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 10:21 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 14:24 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 17:49 | VGK | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 64.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 1 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.6 - 2.5