Boston Bruins at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2025-03-20 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 1 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

VGK: 72.6%

BOS: 27.4%

Expected Goals

VGK: 4.20

BOS: 2.47

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • VGK at home vs BOS: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-22	BOS 4 - 3 VGK	BOS	BOS
2025-10-16	VGK 6 - 5 BOS	VGK	VGK
2025-03-20	VGK 5 - 1 BOS	VGK	VGK
2025-02-08	BOS 3 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2024-02-29	BOS 5 - 4 VGK	BOS	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	VGK	17	0.97
1	BOS	12	0.52
2	VGK	14	1.14
2	BOS	8	0.35
3	VGK	13	1.03
3	BOS	10	0.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 1 Boston Bruins

Expected: 4.2 - 2.5