Carolina Hurricanes at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2025-03-20 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 1 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 57.5%
CAR: 42.5%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.57
CAR: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 48%
Over 6.5: 33%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
| Stat | SJS | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.874 | 0.915 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.941 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SJS at home vs CAR: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | CAR 1 - 4 SJS | SJS | CAR |
| 2025-10-14 | SJS 1 - 5 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-03-20 | SJS 1 - 3 CAR | CAR | SJS |
| 2024-12-10 | CAR 3 - 2 SJS | CAR | CAR |
| 2023-10-27 | CAR 3 - 0 SJS | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13:00 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 10:31 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 04:58 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 14:18 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.5
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 1 - 3 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.6 - 2.9