Vancouver Canucks at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2025-03-22 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 5 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

NYR: 52.9%

VAN: 47.1%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.98

VAN: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NYR at home vs VAN: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-16	NYR 0 - 3 VAN	VAN	NYR
2025-10-28	VAN 0 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-22	NYR 5 - 3 VAN	NYR	NYR
2024-11-19	VAN 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	NYR
2024-01-08	NYR 3 - 6 VAN	VAN	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	3	0	0.11
1	VAN	20	2	1.56
2	NYR	12	0	0.33
2	VAN	15	1	1.02
3	NYR	9	1	1.25
3	VAN	19	0	1.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 5 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2