Philadelphia Flyers at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-03-22 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 3 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

DAL: 51.1%

PHI: 48.9%

Expected Goals

DAL: 2.82

PHI: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • DAL at home vs PHI: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-29	PHI 2 - 1 DAL	PHI	DAL
2025-11-15	DAL 5 - 1 PHI	DAL	DAL
2025-03-22	DAL 3 - 2 PHI	DAL	DAL
2025-01-09	PHI 1 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-01-18	PHI 5 - 1 DAL	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	5	0	0.16
1	PHI	16	0	0.84
2	DAL	12	1	1.16
2	PHI	9	1	1.01
3	DAL	12	0	0.36
3	PHI	15	1	0.76
4	DAL	1	0	0.15
4	PHI	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 3 - 2 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 2.8 - 3.0