Buffalo Sabres at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-03-22 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 4 - 1 Buffalo Sabres

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 47.1%

BUF: 52.9%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.92

BUF: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MIN at home vs BUF: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-17	BUF 4 - 5 MIN	MIN	BUF
2025-11-29	MIN 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF
2025-03-22	MIN 4 - 1 BUF	MIN	BUF
2024-11-27	BUF 0 - 1 MIN	MIN	BUF
2024-02-17	MIN 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	10	0	0.58
1	BUF	14	0	1.01
2	MIN	12	1	1.49
2	BUF	11	0	0.40
3	MIN	9	1	0.75
3	BUF	10	0	0.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 4 - 1 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 2.9 - 3.1