Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-03-22 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 4 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

STL: 75.4%

CHI: 24.6%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.68

CHI: 1.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 47%

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

CHI

Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Joel Hofer	27	26	1	96.3%	2.15	0	1.15
CHI	Arvid Soderblom	25	21	4	84.0%	2.93	4	-1.07

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • STL at home vs CHI: 8-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-06	CHI 4 - 2 STL	CHI	STL
2026-04-11	CHI 3 - 5 STL	STL	STL
2026-01-07	CHI 7 - 3 STL	CHI	STL
2025-12-12	STL 3 - 2 CHI	STL	STL
2025-10-15	STL 3 - 8 CHI	CHI	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	12	0	0.70
1	CHI	7	0	0.25
2	STL	16	3	1.67
2	CHI	21	0	1.67
3	STL	9	1	0.56
3	CHI	10	0	0.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 75.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 4 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.7 - 1.9