Calgary Flames at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2025-03-22 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 3 - 4 Calgary Flames

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 50.9%

CGY: 49.1%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.12

CGY: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 42%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA

CGY

Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYI at home vs CGY: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	NYI 3 - 2 CGY	NYI	NYI
2026-01-17	CGY 4 - 2 NYI	CGY	CGY
2025-03-22	NYI 3 - 4 CGY	CGY	NYI
2024-11-19	CGY 2 - 1 NYI	CGY	NYI
2024-02-10	NYI 2 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	00:36	CGY	Goal
1	10:46	NYI	Goal
1	17:41	NYI	Goal
2	06:03	NYI	Goal
3	17:09	NYI	Goal
3	17:38	NYI	Goal
4	03:53	CGY	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 3 - 4 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9