Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions
2025-03-22 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 5 - 4 Seattle Kraken
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
EDM: 60.8%
SEA: 39.2%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.48
SEA: 2.81
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 63%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 15-7-2 | 0.890 SV% | 3.18 GAA
SEA
Joey Daccord - 16-13-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.84 GAA
| Stat | EDM | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.841 | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.847 |
| GAA | 2.73 | 2.77 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • EDM at home vs SEA: 5-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | EDM 9 - 4 SEA | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-11-29 | SEA 0 - 4 EDM | EDM | SEA |
| 2025-10-25 | SEA 3 - 2 EDM | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-03-27 | SEA 6 - 1 EDM | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-03-22 | EDM 5 - 4 SEA | EDM | EDM |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:49 | EDM | Goal |
| 1 | 14:30 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 18:11 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 12:31 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 07:01 | EDM | Goal |
| 2 | 03:48 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 17:57 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 17:43 | EDM | Goal |
| 3 | 05:57 | EDM | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 60.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 5 - 4 Seattle Kraken
Expected: 3.5 - 2.8