Seattle Kraken at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2025-03-22 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 4 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

EDM: 65.3%

SEA: 34.7%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.61

SEA: 2.74

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • EDM at home vs SEA: 6-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	EDM 3 - 0 SEA	EDM	EDM
2025-12-04	EDM 9 - 4 SEA	EDM	EDM
2025-11-29	SEA 0 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-25	SEA 3 - 2 EDM	SEA	SEA
2025-03-27	SEA 6 - 1 EDM	SEA	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	14	0	0.60
1	SEA	15	1	1.00
2	EDM	17	0	1.27
2	SEA	13	0	0.66
3	EDM	14	1	1.65
3	SEA	13	1	1.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 4 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.6 - 2.7