Philadelphia Flyers at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2025-03-23 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 7 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers
🚨 Upset Win (63% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 37.4%
PHI: 62.6%
Expected Goals
CHI: 2.85
PHI: 2.96
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 34%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
Spencer Knight - 19-25-11 | 0.902 SV% | 2.82 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | CHI | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.909 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.896 | — |
| GAA | 2.63 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CHI at home vs PHI: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | PHI 5 - 1 CHI | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-12-23 | CHI 1 - 3 PHI | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-03-23 | CHI 7 - 4 PHI | CHI | PHI |
| 2024-11-23 | PHI 3 - 2 CHI | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-03-30 | PHI 1 - 5 CHI | CHI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:59 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 07:14 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 08:01 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 08:13 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 11:59 | PHI | Goal |
| 1 | 18:12 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 02:37 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 06:43 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 10:14 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 13:27 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 02:13 | CHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 7 - 4 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 2.8 - 3.0
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