Pittsburgh Penguins at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2025-03-23 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

FLA: 58.1%

PIT: 41.9%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.62

PIT: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • FLA at home vs PIT: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	PIT 5 - 2 FLA	PIT	PIT
2026-04-04	PIT 9 - 4 FLA	PIT	PIT
2025-10-23	FLA 3 - 5 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-03-23	FLA 4 - 3 PIT	FLA	FLA
2025-01-03	FLA 3 - 2 PIT	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	10	0	0.47
1	PIT	23	0	1.01
2	FLA	20	1	1.17
2	PIT	14	0	0.65
3	FLA	22	1	1.25
3	PIT	5	0	0.19
4	FLA	3	1	0.37
4	PIT	2	0	0.23
5	FLA	3	1	0.92
5	PIT	3	0	0.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 4 - 3 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.6 - 3.0