Vancouver Canucks at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2025-03-24 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 55.5%

VAN: 44.5%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.48

VAN: 2.52

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NJD at home vs VAN: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-23	VAN 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-12-14	NJD 1 - 2 VAN	VAN	NJD
2025-03-24	NJD 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	NJD
2024-10-30	VAN 0 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD
2024-01-06	NJD 4 - 6 VAN	VAN	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	14	0	0.82
1	VAN	9	1	0.95
2	NJD	12	0	1.00
2	VAN	12	0	0.84
3	NJD	13	1	1.11
3	VAN	24	4	2.26
4	NJD	4	1	0.75
4	VAN	4	0	0.39
5	NJD	4	1	1.05
5	VAN	4	2	2.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.5