Minnesota Wild at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2025-03-24 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 3 - 0 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

DAL: 59.0%

MIN: 41.0%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.13

MIN: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 52%

Over 6.5: 38%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • DAL at home vs MIN: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-30	MIN 5 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-28	DAL 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	DAL
2026-04-25	MIN 3 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-22	MIN 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	MIN
2026-04-20	DAL 4 - 2 MIN	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	17	1	1.26
1	MIN	14	0	0.57
2	DAL	22	1	1.74
2	MIN	16	0	1.08
3	DAL	18	2	2.10
3	MIN	23	1	1.34

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 3 - 0 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9