Detroit Red Wings at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2025-03-24 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 1 - 5 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 51.2%
DET: 48.8%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.25
DET: 3.03
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 69%
Over 6.5: 55%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | UTA | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.878 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.966 | 0.875 |
| GAA | 2.68 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • UTA at home vs DET: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | UTA 4 - 1 DET | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-12-17 | DET 1 - 4 UTA | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-03-24 | UTA 1 - 5 DET | DET | UTA |
| 2025-03-06 | DET 2 - 4 UTA | UTA | UTA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:46 | UTA | Goal |
| 1 | 05:08 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 01:34 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 09:51 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 17:06 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 18:32 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 1 - 5 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.3 - 3.0
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