Detroit Red Wings at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2025-03-24 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 1 - 5 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 59.6%
DET: 40.4%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.03
DET: 3.14
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | UTA | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.897 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.966 | 0.875 |
| GAA | 2.68 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 25% • UTA at home vs DET: 1-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | UTA 4 - 1 DET | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-12-17 | DET 1 - 4 UTA | UTA | DET |
| 2025-03-24 | UTA 1 - 5 DET | DET | UTA |
| 2025-03-06 | DET 2 - 4 UTA | UTA | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:46 | UTA | Goal |
| 1 | 05:08 | UTA | Goal |
| 2 | 01:34 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 09:51 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 17:06 | DET | Goal |
| 3 | 18:32 | DET | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 1 - 5 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.0 - 3.1