Montreal Canadiens at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2025-03-25 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 6 - 1 Montreal Canadiens
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 58.8%
MTL: 41.2%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.57
MTL: 2.47
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 56%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
| Stat | STL | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.826 | 0.903 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.942 | 0.778 |
| GAA | 3.56 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs MTL: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | STL 2 - 0 MTL | STL | STL |
| 2025-12-07 | MTL 3 - 4 STL | STL | MTL |
| 2025-03-25 | STL 6 - 1 MTL | STL | STL |
| 2024-10-26 | MTL 5 - 2 STL | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-02-11 | MTL 2 - 7 STL | STL | MTL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:54 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 18:54 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 18:07 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 09:09 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 03:21 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:02 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 10:12 | STL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 6 - 1 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.6 - 2.5