Montreal Canadiens at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2025-03-25 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 6 - 1 Montreal Canadiens

Win Probability

STL: 58.0%

MTL: 42.0%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.42

MTL: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

MTL

Samuel Montembeault - 6-6-1 | 0.863 SV% | 3.52 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	25	24	1	96.0%	2.54	2	1.54
MTL	Samuel Montembeault	37	31	6	83.8%	3.65	5	-2.35

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • STL at home vs MTL: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	STL 2 - 0 MTL	STL	MTL
2025-12-07	MTL 3 - 4 STL	STL	MTL
2025-03-25	STL 6 - 1 MTL	STL	STL
2024-10-26	MTL 5 - 2 STL	MTL	MTL
2024-02-11	MTL 2 - 7 STL	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	16	2	1.07
1	MTL	10	1	0.77
2	STL	14	2	1.36
2	MTL	18	0	0.66
3	STL	15	1	1.22
3	MTL	18	1	1.11

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 6 - 1 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.4 - 2.8