Vegas Golden Knights at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2025-03-25 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 1 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

MIN: 36.8%

VGK: 63.2%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.72

VGK: 3.42

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • MIN at home vs VGK: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-06	VGK 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	VGK
2025-12-29	VGK 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	VGK
2025-11-16	MIN 3 - 2 VGK	MIN	MIN
2025-05-01	MIN 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-04-29	VGK 3 - 2 MIN	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	7	0	0.41
1	VGK	11	0	0.42
2	MIN	17	0	0.74
2	VGK	18	0	1.21
3	MIN	12	0	0.44
3	VGK	15	2	1.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 1 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 2.7 - 3.4