Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2025-03-25 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 4 - 3 Seattle Kraken
🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 48.5%
SEA: 51.5%
Expected Goals
CGY: 3.12
SEA: 3.04
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
SEA
Joey Daccord - 20-20-6 | 0.896 SV% | 3.03 GAA
| Stat | CGY | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.854 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.880 | 0.933 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.77 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • CGY at home vs SEA: 2-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | SEA 4 - 1 CGY | SEA | SEA |
| 2026-01-05 | CGY 1 - 5 SEA | SEA | CGY |
| 2025-12-18 | CGY 4 - 2 SEA | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-03-25 | CGY 4 - 3 SEA | CGY | SEA |
| 2025-02-08 | CGY 2 - 3 SEA | SEA | CGY |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:58 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 10:25 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 18:42 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 13:42 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 15:49 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 18:30 | CGY | Goal |
| 4 | 03:58 | CGY | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 4 - 3 Seattle Kraken
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0
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