Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2025-03-25 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 4 - 3 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

CGY: 53.4%

SEA: 46.6%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.04

SEA: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • CGY at home vs SEA: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SEA 4 - 1 CGY	SEA	SEA
2026-01-05	CGY 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	CGY
2025-12-18	CGY 4 - 2 SEA	CGY	CGY
2025-03-25	CGY 4 - 3 SEA	CGY	CGY
2025-02-08	CGY 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	16	0	0.81
1	SEA	10	0	0.53
2	CGY	14	0	0.72
2	SEA	21	2	1.75
3	CGY	20	0	0.72
3	SEA	9	2	1.51
4	CGY	4	1	0.63
4	SEA	3	0	0.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 4 - 3 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0