Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2025-03-25 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 4 - 3 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

CGY: 51.0%

SEA: 49.0%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.10

SEA: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 40%

CGY

Dustin Wolf - 14-14-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.82 GAA

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	Dustin Wolf	29	26	3	89.7%	4.05	4	1.05
SEA	Joey Daccord	37	33	4	89.2%	2.88	1	-1.12

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • CGY at home vs SEA: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SEA 4 - 1 CGY	SEA	SEA
2026-01-05	CGY 1 - 5 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-12-18	CGY 4 - 2 SEA	CGY	CGY
2025-03-25	CGY 4 - 3 SEA	CGY	CGY
2025-02-08	CGY 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	16	0	0.81
1	SEA	10	0	0.53
2	CGY	14	0	0.72
2	SEA	21	2	1.75
3	CGY	20	0	0.72
3	SEA	9	2	1.51
4	CGY	4	1	0.63
4	SEA	3	0	0.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 4 - 3 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1