New York Rangers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2025-03-25 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 1 New York Rangers

Win Probability

LAK: 50.6%

NYR: 49.4%

Expected Goals

LAK: 2.73

NYR: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 41%

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	23	22	1	95.7%	2.74	2	1.74
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	33	30	3	90.9%	3.85	3	0.85

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • LAK at home vs NYR: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-16	NYR 1 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2026-01-20	LAK 4 - 3 NYR	LAK	LAK
2025-03-25	LAK 3 - 1 NYR	LAK	LAK
2024-12-14	NYR 1 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2024-01-20	LAK 2 - 1 NYR	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	18	1	1.10
1	NYR	2	0	0.02
2	LAK	23	1	1.40
2	NYR	22	1	1.58
3	LAK	17	1	1.35
3	NYR	11	1	1.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 1 New York Rangers

Expected: 2.7 - 2.8