Vancouver Canucks at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2025-03-26 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 2 - 5 Vancouver Canucks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 44.1%
VAN: 55.9%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.25
VAN: 3.24
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 11-26-5 | 0.877 SV% | 3.65 GAA
| Stat | NYI | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.885 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.872 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.903 | 0.879 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 3.41 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYI at home vs VAN: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-19 | VAN 3 - 4 NYI | NYI | VAN |
| 2025-12-19 | NYI 1 - 4 VAN | VAN | NYI |
| 2025-03-26 | NYI 2 - 5 VAN | VAN | VAN |
| 2024-11-14 | VAN 2 - 5 NYI | NYI | VAN |
| 2024-01-09 | NYI 2 - 5 VAN | VAN | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 02:39 | VAN | Goal |
| 2 | 05:35 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 09:00 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 13:59 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 19:37 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 01:05 | VAN | Goal |
| 3 | 18:08 | VAN | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 2 - 5 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.3 - 3.2
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