Boston Bruins at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2025-03-26 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 6 - 2 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 46.7%

BOS: 53.3%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.28

BOS: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 52%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

BOS

Joonas Korpisalo - 6-8-0 | 0.882 SV% | 3.60 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	25	23	2	92.0%	1.86	0	-0.14
BOS	Joonas Korpisalo	37	31	6	83.8%	3.88	1	-2.12

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 30% • ANA at home vs BOS: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-19	ANA 4 - 3 BOS	ANA	ANA
2025-10-23	BOS 5 - 7 ANA	ANA	BOS
2025-03-26	ANA 6 - 2 BOS	ANA	BOS
2025-02-22	BOS 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	BOS
2023-10-26	BOS 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	23	0	1.51
1	BOS	7	0	0.27
2	ANA	18	0	1.51
2	BOS	10	0	0.59
3	ANA	15	1	0.85
3	BOS	25	0	0.99

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 6 - 2 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.3 - 3.3